GIVE CONTEXT TO EACH ENVELOPE · FREE

Mystery Bounty

Add the expected value of the eliminations to your spot. Use an average prize or load bounties blocks by value and quantity.

Spot parameters

This calculator measures how much the expected value of eliminating the opponent and collecting an Mystery Bounty adds.

Simple mode Block mode

Mystery Blocks bounties

Only used in block mode. Load each level with its value and how many bounties are left of that type.

EV without mystery

Expected value of the call using only chips, as if the spot did not have mystery envelopes associated with the elimination.

—

EV with mystery

Expected value of the call when you add the expected value of eliminating the rival and opening an Mystery Bounty.

—

Mystery Breakdown

Expected value for bounty: —

What it means: the average prize you win if you get an elimination and collect an Mystery Bounty.

Effective elimination probability: —

What it means: represents the final probability of cashing the envelope in this spot.

Mystery value adjusted to the spot: —

What it means: how much extra EV the mystery part adds after multiplying by the elimination probability.

Breakeven reduction: —

—

How to use it

1. Load the pot, the stack you have to pay and your estimated equity.

2. I defined the effective elimination probability. That number represents the final probability that this spot will make you cash in an Mystery Bounty.

3. In simple mode, you use a direct average.

4. In block mode, you load each bounty as value + quantity and the calculator takes the weighted average by itself.

5. Compare EV without mystery vs EV with mystery to see if elimination changes the decision.

Formula used

EV without mystery = equity × (Pot + Rival Stack) − (1 − equity) × Rival Stack

EV mystery spot = Effective removal probability × Expected value of bounty mystery

EV with mystery = EV without mystery + EV mystery spot